We’ve established why an international pause is important, the key components of a relevant treaty, and why robust verification mechanisms are crucial to its successful enforcement. Now, the question becomes: who are the key players that a pause treaty would require cooperation from? Which nations, labs, and manufacturers have a stake in the development or prevention of ASI?
This section gives you three ways to analyze the actors in a verification regime: where they sit in the supply chain, what function they can perform, and what posture they may take under a particular rule.
Suppose the United States and China sign an agreement tomorrow: no training runs above some compute threshold for three months. Who, exactly, has to change their behavior on Wednesday morning?