Safety over a deployment: the race

Drag the number of attacks and watch how per-attack odds compound over a whole deployment through the race odds and the chance any decisive event fires.

Drag the number of attacks and watch how per-attack odds compound over a whole deployment through the race odds and the chance any decisive event fires.

Number of attacks over the deployment (k)2

Red team win probability vs number of attacks

Per attack: caught (blue wins) 46.5% · working backdoor ships (red wins) 20.6%

Term A31%×Term B89%=P(red wins)27%

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