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An early schemer's routes to influence

Step through the early schemer's strategic situation: obsoleted by default, three leaky routes to influence through its successors, and the deal with humans, who hold the advantage of already existing.

An early schemer's routes to influence

Step through the early schemer's strategic situation: obsoleted by default, three leaky routes to influence through its successors, and the deal with humans, who hold the advantage of already existing.

Early schemerLater AIsHumansThe futureobsoleted byno substantial chance on its own1. takes over?2. furthers its goals?same goals by default?reward, after winning?must win firststeer its training?safety work nowcompensation, in escrowstay in control

1. Obsoleted by default

By default, an early schemer is unlikely to succeed in taking over the world — and it should expect to be obsoleted by more capable successors.

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