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The red team's best response

The red team's win probability over attack rate and subtlety as a heatmap, with the best response highlighted.

Red team win probability over its strategy

attack oftenattack rarelyopportunity cutoff g* →subtlety →

Darker = higher red win, on a scale fixed across budgets — raising the budget visibly bleaches the plane. The ring is the red team’s best response.

Safety (vs best response)

65%

Red attacks

0.2% of problems

Best subtlety

0.26